The Truth About Central Texas Home Prices: Are We In a Crash or a Nuanced Seller's Market? (Data Snapshot: September 2025)

Many homeowners and buyers are hearing headlines suggesting home prices have plummeted, signaling a return to a "buyer's market." However, a closer look at recent Central Texas data reveals a more nuanced reality: while prices have softened slightly year-over-year (YOY), they are far from being "way down."

Here is the data-backed reality of the current Central Texas residential market (analyzed as of October 28, 2025, primarily using September 2025 sales data for Travis and Williamson Counties).

Debunking the Price Plunge Myth

The idea that home prices have collapsed is not supported by the year-over-year figures for this region.

• ▸Median Sale Price: The median sale price as of September 2025 was $425,000. This represents a decrease of -3.4% from the previous year.
• ▸Average Sale Price: The average sale price stands at $559,238, showing only a -2.0% decrease from the previous year.
• ▸Price Per Square Foot: Similarly, the average price per square foot ($252) is -2.5% from the previous year.

Looking at Year-to-Date (YTD) figures confirms this trend, showing very minimal softening compared to the same period last year:

• ▸The YTD median sale price is $445,000, which is -1.4% from last year YTD.
• ▸The YTD average price per square foot is $262 (or $261.71), a change of -2.3% from last year YTD.

While these numbers show prices are slightly down, they contradict the perception that the market is in a deep slump.

Current Market Activity and Seller Metrics

The current market environment requires strategic pricing and professional presentation. Key activity indicators show sellers need to prepare for longer timelines and accurate pricing:

• ▸Days on Market (DOM): The median days on market reached 58 in September 2025. This is an increase of 8 days from the previous year. The average days on market is 75, an increase of 6 days from the previous year.
• ▸List Price vs. Sale Price: Homes are selling for slightly under the asking price. The percentage over/under asking is -3.27%, representing a decrease of only -0.5% from the previous year.
• ▸Sales Volume: The number of sales is 2,378, which is actually 11.4% up from the previous year.

Succeeding in Today's Market

In this environment of slight price softening and increasing time on the market, partnering with an expert team is essential to ensure your home sells efficiently and for top dollar.

Our team focuses on strategies that maximize value and minimize stress. We invest in the best tools in the business, including graphic design, staging, professional photography, social media, and virtual tours available to potential buyers across multiple platforms.

When you list with us, you benefit from key performance indicators that surpass the area average:

• ▸Sale Success Rate: Our team sells 94.4% of the homes we list for sale, compared to the area average of 88.24%.
• ▸Sale Price Integrity: Our clients' homes sell on average for 96.4% of the asking price, significantly higher than the area average of 94.4%.
• ▸Speed of Sale: Our clients' homes sell on average in 61 days, which is much faster than the area average of 94 days.